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Research Seminar

Disentangling the Greening of the Labour Market: The Role of Changing Occupations and Worker Flows

Exploring Germany's green employment growth (2012–2022): Insights from text-mining task data, worker flows, and the green transition's impact on vulnerable workers.

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Using a text-mining approach applied to task descriptions of occupations together with worker-level administrative data, we explore the growth in the greenness of employment in Germany between 2012 and 2022.

We first show that the greening of occupations over time (“within-effect”) is as important for the overall greening of employment as shifting occupational employment shares (“between-effect”).

Second, we examine which occupations and task types contribute most to the within-effect, and which worker flows are mainly responsible for the between-effect.

Third, we demonstrate that the employment prospects of foreign and of low-skilled workers are most at risk from the green transition.

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Participants

  • Photo of Professor Ronald Bachmann (Presenter)
    Professor Ronald Bachmann (Presenter)
    Head of Labour Markets, Education, and Population Research at RWI
  • Photo of Dr. Christina Vonnahme (Presenter)
    Dr. Christina Vonnahme (Presenter)
    Team Lead, Ecological Transformation and Labor Markets, RWI – Leibniz Institute for Economic Research
  • Photo of Takaaki Kizu (Discussant)
    Takaaki Kizu (Discussant)
    Skills Development Officer, Skills and Employability Branch, International Labour Organization
  • Photo of Hannah Liepmann (Moderator)
    Hannah Liepmann (Moderator)
    Economist, Research Department, International Labour Organization