Employment and Social Trends: May 2026 Update

Growing labour market risks of the Middle East crisis

This Employment and Social Trends: May 2026 Update examines emerging risks to jobs, incomes and workers in a period of heightened global uncertainty. As in previous updates, it focuses on how changes in the geopolitical and economic environment can significantly affect labour markets and social outcomes. This Update gives particular attention to the potential impact of the Middle East crisis.

The Middle East crisis has quickly evolved into a global shock to the world of work. Its effects are spreading through higher energy prices and disruptions to transport routes, supply chains, tourism, investment confidence, migration flows and remittances.

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