A model of social policy costs of HIV/AIDS in the Russian Federation - Research and policy analysis 2

In order to assess the socio-economic consequences of the epidemic in Russia, a computer model was developed to assess the impact of HIV/AIDS in the Russian Federation on: the general population and the economically active population, the financial sustainability of the pension fund, the costs of short-term disability benefits, health-care expenditures for diagnosing and treating people living with, HIV/AIDS, productivity and, hence, on the national output (GDP). The team developed estimates of probabilities of infection by age and sex on the basis of data for 2000–2002 from the Russian Federal AIDS Centre.