Research publications
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Research publications

  1. An Accuracy Assessment of the Global Employment Trends’ Unemployment Rate Forecasts

    31 March 2014

    This study provides a quantitative assessment of the bias, accuracy, and efficiency of the Global Employment Trends (GET) global and regional unemployment rate forecasts made in three recent annual GET reports. After conducting a series of statistical tests, the results suggest that, on average across all countries with data availability, the GET unemployment rate forecasts are slightly biased; we over-predict one and two years ahead and under-predict three and four years ahead. However, this bias is not significant for one to three years ahead. Moreover, our tests for accuracy show that the shorter the prediction period, the more accurate our forecasts indicated by smaller forecast errors for shorter prediction periods and larger forecast errors for longer periods.

  2. Kenya: Making quality employment the driver of development

    02 December 2013

    The report analyses how the growing disconnect between growth and job creation in Kenya is having detrimental consequences on living standards and working conditions, especially for youth. It discusses how a comprehensive approach that integrates employment goals with strategic growth plans can contribute to a more stable and equitable growth pattern.

  3. Tackling the jobs crisis in Portugal

    26 November 2013

    The report looks at the socio-economic situation in the country and its impact on the labour market. It also presents a series of policy recommendations to move towards a more job-centred approach.

  4. Bangladesh: Seeking better employment conditions for better socioeconomic outcomes

    18 November 2013

    The report analyses the country’s economic growth driven by its ready-made garment (RMG) sector and contains recommendations to make this growth more sustainable and improve working conditions in Bangladesh.

  5. The Social Dimensions of Free Trade Agreements

    06 November 2013

    The report provides a comprehensive review of all existing trade agreements that include social provisions and discusses impacts for enterprises and workers.It also helps assess the challenges for arising from the multiplication of trade agreements that include different social provisions.

  6. EuroZone job crisis: trends and policy responses

    11 July 2012

    The study provides the latest trends on the employment situation in EU countries and examines the labour market reforms adopted by various governments.

  7. ILO Global Estimate of Forced Labour 2012: Results and Methodology

    01 June 2012

    The purpose of the present document is to describe in detail the revised methodology used to generate the 2012 ILO global estimate of forced labour, covering the period from 2002 to 2011, and the main results obtained.

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